Extreme Conformal Prediction: Reliable Intervals for High-Impact Events
Pasche, O. C., Lam, H., and Engelke, S. (2026). "Extreme Conformal Prediction: Reliable Intervals for High-Impact Events." Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-026-00536-9
Pasche, O. C., Lam, H., and Engelke, S. (2026). "Extreme Conformal Prediction: Reliable Intervals for High-Impact Events." Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-026-00536-9
Pasche, O. C. (2026). "Methods for Forecasting Extreme Events with Machine Learning and Extreme Value Statistics." Ph.D. Thesis, University of Geneva. https://doi.org/10.13097/archive-ouverte/unige:193040
Pasche, O. C., Wider, J., Zhang, Z., Zscheischler, J., and Engelke, S. (2025). "Validating Deep-Learning Weather Forecast Models on Recent High-Impact Extreme Events." Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems 4(1), e240033. https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-24-0033.1
Pasche, O. C. and Engelke, S. (2024). "Neural networks for extreme quantile regression with an application to forecasting of flood risk." Annals of Applied Statistics 18(4), 2818–2839. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-AOAS1907
Bodik, J. and Pasche, O. C. (2024). "Granger Causality in Extremes." ArXiv:2407.09632. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2407.09632
Buriticá, G., Hentschel, M., Pasche, O. C., Röttger, F., and Zhang, Z. (2025). "Modeling extreme events: Univariate and multivariate data-driven approaches." Extremes 28(1), 75–99. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-024-00499-9
Zeder, J., Sippel, S., Pasche, O. C., Engelke, S., and Fischer, E. M. (2023). "The effect of a short observational record on the statistics of temperature extremes." Geophysical Research Letters 50(16), e2023GL104090. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104090
Pasche, O. C., Chavez-Demoulin, V., and Davison, A. C. (2023). "Causal modelling of heavy-tailed variables and confounders with application to river flow." Extremes 26(3), 573–594. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-022-00456-4
University of Geneva
University of Geneva
University of Geneva
University of Geneva
University of Geneva
EPFL
Invited Conference Speaker at University of North Carolina, in Chapel Hill, NC, USA
Invited Workshop Speaker at University of Edinburgh, in Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
Contributed Conference Speaker at Meteo France, in Toulouse, France
Contributed Poster at University of Bern, in Bern, Switzerland
Invited Poster at University of Geneva, in Geneva, Switzerland
Workshop Speaker at University of Geneva and KAUST, in Virtual
Invited Conference Speaker at HTW Berlin, University of Applied Sciences, in Berlin, Germany
Invited Conference Speaker at Bocconi University, in Milan, Italy
Organizer and Workshop Speaker at University of Geneva, in Geneva, Switzerland
Workshop Speaker at CIRM, in Aussois, France
Invited Forum Speaker at Swiss Federal Statistical Office, in Neuchâtel, Switzerland
Workshop Speaker at KAUST, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Invited Conference Speaker at King's College, in London, United Kingdom
Invited Workshop Speaker at CIRM Luminy, in Marseille, France
Invited Conference Speaker at Azia Resort, University of Cyprus, in Paphos, Cyprus
Workshop Speaker at University of Lausanne, in Lausanne, Switzerland
Workshop Speaker at Fafleralp Hotel, in Fafleralp, Switzerland
Workshop Speaker at CIRM, in Aussois, France
Contributed Conference Speaker at University of Edinburgh, in Edinburgh, United Kingdom